Armstrongs Eye on W51 – Issue 8

January 1, 2011 in World 051 News, World News

Hello again W51! I hope you all had a nice Christmas and have a good New Year, which is, again, just around the bend, and has already happened for some of you. Anyway, this week, because of attack breaks, not much goes on, noble wise, unless people decide to pile all noblings into a few days. But, I will be covering apathys recent declaration on K-T.

APATHY and K-T

These 2 tribes both reside in the south of the world, Apathy being placed below K-T. Both tribes also control multiple K’s, Apathy controlling K’s 83, 84, 85, and 95, whilst K-T own K’s 73, 74 and 64.

Now, tensions between these 2 tribes begane to rise when anthills joined K-T, obviously, he had been hated by FRM, and they thought he was gone, he was the character who had iniated threats on tribes like FRM with presumably false information, which got him a bad name when mails of his were shown by Jester.

Tension continued when kaikura stepped down as leader of K-T. This didn’t help K-T as Kaikura was the duke that H0llygh0st, Apathies duke, had spoken to, and they did not argue. Now, when Obscurum stepped up in Kaikuras place, he asked Apathy about merging, apparantly asking multiple times. This, did not please H0lly.

Now, these tribes remained stable with each other for a while. There were occassionaly outbursts in a shared forum with other tribes, but, most of the time, anthills behaved himself and people got along. A couple of times there had been whispers of attacks on K-T, and not just from Apathy. But, Apathy were the ones who made the mve.

Preparations began before Christmas time, in early December. By mid December, fronts were being stacked and villages were being converted from Offensive to Defensive and vice versa. All this went on under K-Ts nose. The real obvious thing, was when Apathy started to noble more villages in K74, this angered K-T and led to mails between members of Apathy and anthills, which, again, angered h0lly.

Now, H0lly made his mistake. He mailed members of K-T asking if they wanted to join Apathy. These members were more loyal than he thought, and promptly forwarded the mail to the leadership of K-T. Now, K-T were up and making preparations for war with Apathy, that was now, and had been for a while, inevitable.

Apathy oficially declared on the 30th at 01:54 by the forun time, which is an hour infront of server time. So the declaration was made at 00:54 server time.
Now, as much as I, and others, want this to be a 1 on 1 war, the sigsn of a ‘run of the mill’ war for W51 are already appearing. Axte have already made recruitments against K-T and now that has happened, I am sure it will not be long before other tribes decide to jump in for some villages.

Here’s a map of both Apathy and K-T with surrounding tribes:

Now, lets have a look at an analasys of both tribes, done by Wallam.

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K-T

Tribe Statistics

Total points: 11,012,792
Total number of members: 46
Total points per member: 239,409
Member Changes: 256
Total villages: 1,316
Total number of villages Nobled: 1171
Total number of villages lost: 71
Villages lost as % of total villages nobled: 6.06%
Total Points Value of last 10 villages capped (Not counting internals): 51459
Total number of villages nobled by top 10 players in last month: 186
Average points per village: 8,366
Overall points growth over the last month: 4.545.534
Overall points growth over the last month as %: 70.6%
Overall village gain over the last month: 448
Overall village gain over the last month as %: 34.09%
Overall ODA gain over the last month: 11.948.078
Overall ODA gain over the last month as %: 95.6%
Overall ODD gain over the last month: 3.394.887
Overall ODD gain over the last month as %: 63.5%
Overall ODT gain over the last month: 15.342.965
Overall ODT gain over the last month as %: 86.0%

Player Statistics

Player with biggest growth in rankings over the last month: No1s.Perfect (Moved up 526 spots)
Player with biggest growth in overall points in the last month: FORBIDDEN15 (289,354 points grown)
Player with biggest growth in points as a % in the last month: obscurum (203.6% growth)
Player with biggest overall village gain over the last month: FORBIDDEN15 (30 villages gained)
Player with worst nobling record: Declaracion (90.47% of village caps were abandons / internals.)
Player with biggest growth in overall ODA in the last month: judman45 (849.254 growth)
Player with the biggest growth in ODA as a % in the last month: Declaracion (1069.8% growth)
Player with biggest growth in overall ODD in the last month: Pankaj@123 (390.483 growth)
Player with the biggest growth in ODD as a % in the last month: Pankaj@123 (44524.9% growth)
Player with biggest growth in overall ODT in the last month: Judman45 (857.237 growth)
Player with the biggest growth in ODT as a % in the last month: Declaracion (1033,7% growth)

Apathy

Tribe Statistics

Total points: 7,927,465
Total number of members: 34
Total points per member: 233,161
Member Changes: 360
Total villages: 949
Total number of villages Nobled: 1047
Total number of villages lost: 81
Villages lost as % of total villages nobled: 7.74%
Total Points Value of last 10 villages capped (Not counting internals): 51074
Total number of villages nobled by top 10 players in last month: 206
Average points per village: 8,353
Overall points growth over the last month: 3.698.002
Overall points growth over the last month as %: 88.0%
Overall village gain over the last month: 372
Overall village gain over the last month as %: 39.37%
Overall ODA gain over the last month: 10.943.493
Overall ODA gain over the last month as %: 98.7%
Overall ODD gain over the last month: 2.741.023
Overall ODD gain over the last month as %: 58.0%
Overall ODT gain over the last month: 13.684.516
Overall ODT gain over the last month as %: 86.6%

Player Statistics

Player with biggest growth in rankings over the last month: pyrotechnic (Moved up 4206 spots)
Player with biggest growth in overall points in the last month: Drucifer (292.621 points grown)
Player with biggest growth in points as a % in the last month: cute*butt (733.3% growth)
Player with biggest overall village gain over the last month: Wulfgar61 (34 villages gained)
Player with worst nobling record: Magnetosome (34.37% of village caps were abandons / internals.)
Player with biggest growth in overall ODA in the last month: Wulfgar61 (850.428 growth)
Player with the biggest growth in ODA as a % in the last month: Wulfgar61 (304.9% growth)
Player with biggest growth in overall ODD in the last month: Prince Helikaon (444.439 growth)
Player with the biggest growth in ODD as a % in the last month: Moneyman09 (22293.0% growth)
Player with biggest growth in overall ODT in the last month: Wulfgar61 (1.080.435 growth)
Player with the biggest growth in ODT as a % in the last month: Wulfgar61 (267.9% growth)

Comparison

Code: Apathy = Red
K-T = Green

Tribe Statistics

Total points: K-T (+3.085,327 difference)
Total number of members: K-T (+12 difference)
Total points per member: K-T (+6248 difference)
Member Changes: Apathy (+104 difference)
Total villages: K-T (+367 difference)
Total number of villages Nobled: K-T (+124 difference)
Total number of villages lost: Apathy (+10 difference)
Villages lost as % of total villages nobled: Apathy (+1.68% difference)
Total Points Value of last 10 villages capped (Not counting internals): K-T (+385 difference)
Total number of villages nobled by top 10 players in last month: Apathy (+20 difference)
Average points per village: K-T (+13 difference)
Overall points growth over the last month: K-T (+847532 difference)
Overall points growth over the last month as %: Apathy (+17.4% difference)
Overall village gain over the last month: K-T (+76 difference)
Overall village gain over the last month as %: Apathy (+5.28% difference)
Overall ODA gain over the last month: K-T (+1004585 difference)
Overall ODA gain over the last month as %: Apathy (+3.1% difference)
Overall ODD gain over the last month: K-T (+653864 difference)
Overall ODD gain over the last month as %: K-T (5.5% difference)
Overall ODT gain over the last month: K-T (+1478449 difference)
Overall ODT gain over the last month as %: Apathy (0.6% difference)

Player Statistics

Player with biggest growth in rankings over the last month: Apathy (3680 spot difference)
Player with biggest growth in overall points in the last month: Apathy (3267 points difference)
Player with biggest growth in points as a % in the last month: Apathy (529.7% difference)
Player with biggest overall village gain over the last month: Apathy (4 village difference)
Player with worst nobling record: K-T (56.1% difference)
Player with biggest growth in overall ODA in the last month: Apathy (1174 difference)
Player with the biggest growth in ODA as a % in the last month: K-T (764.9% difference)
Player with biggest growth in overall ODD in the last month: Apathy (53956 difference)
Player with the biggest growth in ODD as a % in the last month: K-T (22231.9% difference)
Player with biggest growth in overall ODT in the last month: Apathy (223198 difference)
Player with the biggest growth in ODT as a % in the last month: K-T (765.8% difference)

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Having looked heavily into both tribes whilst doing all that number crunching, and yes it did take me an absolute age, it seems clear to me that there is a very clear trend.

In the tribes category it is clear that whilst K-T have better total stats, Apathy have the better percentages. This makes sense since K-T Started earlier than the reformed apathy that they would have better totals. Thus it would, in my eyes, be more sensible to look at the percentages and Apathy have gains in every % category on the tribes side except ODD with the biggest % growth difference coming in the points category. Thus in my eyes Apathy are doing slightly better at this point in time.

In the players category, it seems to me that the top players of both tribes are fairly equal in points and in terms of OD gain etc. Its the bottom half of the tribe that really separates the two. Apathy seem to be recruiting lower point players than K-T however K-T seems to be recruiting bigger but less skilled players. To illustrate this point lets take a look at the K-T player “declaration”.

With a nobling record of a whopping 90.47% of all conquers being barbs and internals, a total of only “23.207 ODT” at 185k points, and only 69 ODD in total this guy looks like the kind of player that no-one would want in their tribe. It will be very very interesting to see what he does when he gets attacked, my personal feeling is there is an 90.47% chance of him quitting/deleting if he comes under heavy pressure.. (wonder where i got that 90.47% figure from :D ).

On the other side is the Apathy member “pyrotechnic”:

A member who has come back from the war with axte ready for a shot with the new apathy. This could well be the reason that a player with such low points was recruited however he wasn’t the only player with low points recruited so it might not be the case. He has a good solid growth rate which has slowed down a lot recently suggesting he is saving for a noble. His ODA figures are skew because he restarted so now comparison can be deemed however his OD in the last few weeks has been quite low, which suggests hes either trying to save troops or hes content with the amount of farms he has. Overall a smaller but more skilled player than declaration in my opinion.

So there you have it, K-T is a bigger but less skilled tribe, at least in my opinion. So it looks like a test of skill vs size right now. Unless other tribes come butting in on the action of course.

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Now, obviously, the other tribes on the map (SHEEPS, PL@GUE, Axte) will probably not stand idely whilst territory between them is taken,  Axte have already made a move by recruiting members, which has, to some point, annoyed SHEEPS.

But, we will see what comes from this war, as it is still in early stages.

TOP 10 TRIBES

This will be a short analysis of the top 10 tribes, well, because, not much goes on in attack breaks.

Here’s a map from Nickjer

1 – Axte

Axte have managed to keep tribal growth up during the holiday period. And they have also managed to gain some new members. These members hail from places like K-T and also, H.A.T.E. How long the HATE members stay, I don’t know, but, with new members from K-T will they now attempt an attack on them?  They managed to grow around 8 million points, even with the Christmas breaks, but, that would include the recruitment of 9 new members, that would make up the bulk of the growth.

SHEEPS

SHEEPS are still holding on to their rank 2 position, although they are far off of Axtes points. In total points they are 12,000,000 points behind, and only have 2 members less. The difference between the 2 tribes averages is around 200,000 points. Over the last week, SHEEPS lost 1 member and gained 300 villages. The breaks slowed them down, as it would have anyone, but, they remain seated in rank 2.

3 – NUKE

The new rank 3 tribe, they, like Axte, managed to bring a lead through recruitment, they recruited members from their allied tribe WEBASH, located to their East. These new recruits have helped NUKE gain a nice 4,000,000 points over the break, bringing their lead over HATE to 3,000,000 points, and they also have a higher player average by 1,000 points. Their gain of 4000 comes with the fact that they recruited members to do it, although, if there are people to be recruited, you may aswell do it. These new members should be able to help NUKE finish off CTRL, who had been warring WEBASH and NUKE for a little while now, although, the attacks gave them a chance to regroup.

4 – HATE

HATE fell to rank 4 after NUKE recruited members of WEBASH, and they also lost some members to the local powerhouse, Axte.  Since the breaks, HATE have lost 2,000,000 points, along with 4 of their members who are still in Axte, others have since rejoined. The motives of this, I, myself do not understand, was it for support? Information? I really can not tell. Anyway, back t HATE, apart from the member losses, the individual members seem to be growing well, many are growing 20,000 points in a day or more. With their members back, they may seem fit to retake their position of rank 3, and maybe rise further.

5 – MIND

MIND have, infact, lost around 200,000 points since the break, but, have kept their place due to their huge lead on rank 6, PL@GUE, with a lead of 4,000,000 points. They lost 2 members, which would have added to their losses, and, both of these members went over to SHEEPS, enhancing their second placing. MIND seem to be hokdin rank 5, even with losses, but, the gao between the top 5 and top 10 is starting to widen, with a now 4,000,000 point difference between 5 and 6. MIND are trapped between other top 10 tribes, and will have to pick a way out. I would say, their best option would be to go for a tribe to their east, the best to go for, would be, FOR.

6 -PL@GUE

PL@GUE continue to reside in 6th place with a 1,000,000 point lead on their follower, AGG. Over the break, PL@GUE have gained 1,000,000 points, which was made up by an extra 100 villages gained by the tribe. They recently recruited a new member, and have joined the trend of tribe changes over this holiday period, inviting a new member, and kicking an old, inactive one. PL@GUE, like MIND are stuck between other top 10 tribes, so will have to make a move on someone near, maybe tribes like AGG or they may jump in on the attacks on K-T. But, they will have to make another war move or there will be no more food.

7 – AGG

AGGs growth has been quite steady, their graph on TW Stats is a respectibaly smooth line that goes up, with no bumps going down or any other squiggles and squirms. AGG, like PL@GUE, have gained another 1,000,000 points throughout the break, and also like PL@GUE, might be looking for a target. But, AGG have had members leave, some inactive, some still with a larger number of points. They did, however, take in another member to join their ranks. AGG may need to find somewhere else to noble rather than barbarian villages and smaller targets. They are yet to prove themselve, as they have not taken on a major target, apart from their small influence against PIMPS.

8 – FOR

FOR rose a rank after K-T lost members, and are now comfortabely ahead of them by 600,000 points. FOR, too, have lost members, but their points have stayed on the up, they have managed to gain a total of 800,000 points and around 80 villages aswell. Like AGG they are still yet to prove themselves, but, being a rim tribe, they are, at the moment, happy to munch on smaller tribes around theselves, and further secure their border on the rim. Although, if targetted, they may have to use their solid border to their advantage, as a safe line. If they are targetted, however, it could be another mass attack from a number of tribes, as many wars on this world have been.

9 – K-T

K-T lost members to Axte who recruited them over the period of a few hours. K-T are now at war with Apathy, and, at the moment, not much is going on apart from throwing nukes at defense and fakes at others. With a leader dismissed organisation may start to crumble, but, there are hopes that Obscurum can keep the tribe floating throughout this war. There are fears that K-T will be ganged up on by other tribes, such as SHEEPS, PLAGUE and Axte, all in a competition for territory, and if that happens, K-T will have to be ready. Although they reside only 500,000 points infront of Apathy, who knows what can happen.

10 – Apathy

Apathy are once again in the top 10 and they are back to get as high as they can before other tribes start to attack them. At the moment they seem to be sitting idly as Axte recruit members of K-T. Any other tribe would declare them refugees and go after, but, Apathy seem to be leaving Axte to do as they wish. Having started the war with K-T, they will be in the spotlight for the time being, something that H0lly loves. The tribe is all set for attacking after the break and seem set to noble a load of villages to put K-T in their place.

Well…

Happy New year W51!

Unfortunately there was no name change for new year, although, it is nice to see that W51 have a good Christmas spirit, and, although tribes war, there is always some friendship between the members.

SO!

Sorry about the relative shortness of this blog, I wanted to get it out before New Year for me, so I will edit it after New Year is over (about 5 minutes) :P

THANKS FOR READING!

Once again, I would like to thank all you readers, and also, Wallam, who, unknowingly, got featured in this blog, although I am sure he would love the attention. :)

So guys, have a great New Year and Exit 2010 in style

BRING ON 2011 FOR W51!!!

Thanks again

Armstrong Out